Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Denver’s June 12 high near 90–91 °F under a strong upper-level ridge delivering above-average warmth and mostly sunny skies. This places the 90–91 °F bin at the market’s highest implied probability (37.5 %), ahead of 88–89 °F (25 %) and 92–93 °F (19 %). Mid-June climatology averages highs around 85–88 °F, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by downslope warming and minimal cloud cover. Forecasters note typical uncertainty in peak temperature timing and any late-day convective development that could trim a degree or two, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 80s to low 90s ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日丹佛的最高温度?
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98华氏度或更高
<1%
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs position Denver’s June 12 high near 90–91 °F under a strong upper-level ridge delivering above-average warmth and mostly sunny skies. This places the 90–91 °F bin at the market’s highest implied probability (37.5 %), ahead of 88–89 °F (25 %) and 92–93 °F (19 %). Mid-June climatology averages highs around 85–88 °F, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by downslope warming and minimal cloud cover. Forecasters note typical uncertainty in peak temperature timing and any late-day convective development that could trim a degree or two, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 80s to low 90s ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题