Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日巴拿马城气温最高?
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 16.1%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
29%
34°C
33%
35°C
16%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C及以上
<1%
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 16.1%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
29%
34°C
33%
35°C
16%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C及以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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