Official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11 project a daytime high near 31–33°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology as the region transitions out of the mei-yu rainy period. Recent observational trends show daily maxima stabilizing around 30°C amid variable cloud cover and isolated showers, keeping the market-implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C highest while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C from timing of any convective activity. This aligns with historical June baselines where highs rarely exceed 32°C before mid-month warming accelerates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
31°C 68%
32°C 28%
33°C 1.6%
34°C <1%
$84,201 交易量
$84,201 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
68%
32°C
28%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 68%
32°C 28%
33°C 1.6%
34°C <1%
$84,201 交易量
$84,201 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
68%
32°C
28%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11 project a daytime high near 31–33°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology as the region transitions out of the mei-yu rainy period. Recent observational trends show daily maxima stabilizing around 30°C amid variable cloud cover and isolated showers, keeping the market-implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C highest while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C from timing of any convective activity. This aligns with historical June baselines where highs rarely exceed 32°C before mid-month warming accelerates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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