Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a narrow range centered on 27–28°C for Shanghai’s June 13 maximum, reflecting expected southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current model consensus shows partial cloud cover and light precipitation potential suppressing peaks below seasonal averages near 28°C, with minor spreads arising from differences in simulated convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical mid-June climatology in this subtropical region supports this tight distribution, while the market’s closely matched leading outcomes capture genuine short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日上海气温最高?
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a narrow range centered on 27–28°C for Shanghai’s June 13 maximum, reflecting expected southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current model consensus shows partial cloud cover and light precipitation potential suppressing peaks below seasonal averages near 28°C, with minor spreads arising from differences in simulated convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical mid-June climatology in this subtropical region supports this tight distribution, while the market’s closely matched leading outcomes capture genuine short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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