Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because short-range forecasts from global and regional models consistently project typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with daytime highs near the June climatological average of 16–17°C. The cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies limit warming, while any passing cold front or wind shift can add or subtract a degree or two depending on its exact timing and strength. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for 19°C or higher under stronger northerly flow or 15°C or below if a stronger frontal passage occurs. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 13?
17°C 30%
16°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 13%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
22%
17°C
31%
18°C
13%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 30%
16°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 13%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
22%
17°C
31%
18°C
13%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because short-range forecasts from global and regional models consistently project typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with daytime highs near the June climatological average of 16–17°C. The cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies limit warming, while any passing cold front or wind shift can add or subtract a degree or two depending on its exact timing and strength. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for 19°C or higher under stronger northerly flow or 15°C or below if a stronger frontal passage occurs. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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