Official meteorological stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on June 11, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Winter conditions in the region typically feature highs near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure systems, with limited diurnal variability and minimal influence from transient cold fronts or Atlantic moisture. This alignment with climatological norms and direct observational data from authoritative sources underpins the overwhelming trader consensus. Only revisions to station readings, disputes over measurement protocols, or post hoc quality-control adjustments would realistically alter the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日圣保罗的最高温度?
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,006 交易量
$54,006 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,006 交易量
$54,006 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on June 11, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Winter conditions in the region typically feature highs near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure systems, with limited diurnal variability and minimal influence from transient cold fronts or Atlantic moisture. This alignment with climatological norms and direct observational data from authoritative sources underpins the overwhelming trader consensus. Only revisions to station readings, disputes over measurement protocols, or post hoc quality-control adjustments would realistically alter the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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