**Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across northern Taiwan have capped daytime heating in Taipei, keeping the observed maximum temperature at 27°C as of the latest Central Weather Administration observations and model consensus.** This aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on 27°C, reflecting suppressed insolation from a moist, stable air mass typical of early summer monsoon influences rather than the seasonal climatological high near 30–31°C. Recent forecast updates from the CWA and supporting numerical models show only gradual warming aloft amid ongoing precipitation chances, limiting any late-day rise. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall allowing additional solar heating to push readings to 28°C or above before the daily maximum is finalized; conversely, heavier or more persistent rain could hold the peak at or below 26°C if conditions evolve more negatively than current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on June 12?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$133,429 交易量
$133,429 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$133,429 交易量
$133,429 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across northern Taiwan have capped daytime heating in Taipei, keeping the observed maximum temperature at 27°C as of the latest Central Weather Administration observations and model consensus.** This aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on 27°C, reflecting suppressed insolation from a moist, stable air mass typical of early summer monsoon influences rather than the seasonal climatological high near 30–31°C. Recent forecast updates from the CWA and supporting numerical models show only gradual warming aloft amid ongoing precipitation chances, limiting any late-day rise. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall allowing additional solar heating to push readings to 28°C or above before the daily maximum is finalized; conversely, heavier or more persistent rain could hold the peak at or below 26°C if conditions evolve more negatively than current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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