**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are positioning the 72-73°F bin as the market favorite at 41.5% implied probability for the June 15 high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX).** Numerical weather models and National Weather Service guidance continue to show a strong inversion and southwest winds of 5–15 mph that advect cool, moist air from the Pacific, capping daytime warming near or slightly above seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 70s. Recent model runs and satellite observations confirm coastal stratus and patchy fog lingering into mid-morning before gradual clearing, consistent with the pattern that produced the 72-73°F outcome on June 13. This keeps probabilities concentrated around 70–75°F (over 80% combined) while limiting upside risk from clearing skies or downside risk from stronger cooling. The modest 19.5% on 74–75°F reflects occasional model spread on boundary-layer mixing, but traders assign very low odds to 76°F+ or sub-70°F outcomes absent an unexpected shift in the marine inversion or steering flow. Resolution hinges on the official NWS climatological report for the highest observed temperature on the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日洛杉矶气温最高?
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80°F或更高
1%
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are positioning the 72-73°F bin as the market favorite at 41.5% implied probability for the June 15 high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX).** Numerical weather models and National Weather Service guidance continue to show a strong inversion and southwest winds of 5–15 mph that advect cool, moist air from the Pacific, capping daytime warming near or slightly above seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 70s. Recent model runs and satellite observations confirm coastal stratus and patchy fog lingering into mid-morning before gradual clearing, consistent with the pattern that produced the 72-73°F outcome on June 13. This keeps probabilities concentrated around 70–75°F (over 80% combined) while limiting upside risk from clearing skies or downside risk from stronger cooling. The modest 19.5% on 74–75°F reflects occasional model spread on boundary-layer mixing, but traders assign very low odds to 76°F+ or sub-70°F outcomes absent an unexpected shift in the marine inversion or steering flow. Resolution hinges on the official NWS climatological report for the highest observed temperature on the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题