Sir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于扎克·波兰斯基 24%
Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%
乔治娅·古尔德 21%
亚当·哈里森 9%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
扎克·波兰斯基
43%
Sagal Abdi-Wali
24%
乔治娅·古尔德
21%
亚当·哈里森
9%
莎拉·海沃德
9%
洛娜·简·拉塞尔
8%
帕特·卡拉汉
6%
哈姆扎·乔杜里
18%
卢伊萨·波里特
6%
詹姆斯·怀特
6%
基思·莫菲特
6%
理查德·奥尔谢夫斯基
5%
大卫·罗伯茨
5%
奥利弗·库珀
5%
特里西亚·莱曼
5%
莎拉·波金
4%
大卫·斯坦塞尔
4%
吉姆·莫纳汉
3%
梅赫林·马利克
25%
吉奥·斯皮内拉
17%
查理·克林顿
1%
Siân Berry
28%
扎克·波兰斯基 24%
Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%
乔治娅·古尔德 21%
亚当·哈里森 9%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
扎克·波兰斯基
$604 交易量
43%
Sagal Abdi-Wali
$118 交易量
24%
乔治娅·古尔德
$60 交易量
21%
亚当·哈里森
$60 交易量
9%
莎拉·海沃德
$60 交易量
9%
洛娜·简·拉塞尔
$60 交易量
8%
帕特·卡拉汉
$60 交易量
6%
哈姆扎·乔杜里
$80 交易量
18%
卢伊萨·波里特
$60 交易量
6%
詹姆斯·怀特
$60 交易量
6%
基思·莫菲特
$60 交易量
6%
理查德·奥尔谢夫斯基
$60 交易量
5%
大卫·罗伯茨
$60 交易量
5%
奥利弗·库珀
$60 交易量
5%
特里西亚·莱曼
$60 交易量
5%
莎拉·波金
$60 交易量
4%
大卫·斯坦塞尔
$60 交易量
4%
吉姆·莫纳汉
$60 交易量
3%
梅赫林·马利克
$60 交易量
25%
吉奥·斯皮内拉
$60 交易量
17%
查理·克林顿
$60 交易量
1%
Siân Berry
$47 交易量
28%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,930结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ETA by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
交易量
$1,930结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ETSir Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election, with Labour’s candidate selection process only beginning on September 1 and due to conclude September 9. This timing, combined with no writ yet moved and nominations not open, has produced highly fragmented trader pricing across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, Siân Berry, and various independents. Local 2026 Camden results showing strengthened Green support, the constituency’s progressive electorate, and the precedent of a strong left-wing independent performance in 2024 keep probabilities tightly bunched until confirmed nominees and a polling date emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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