Recent RBI projections and analyst revisions have anchored trader expectations for India’s 2026 CPI inflation near 4.6 percent, reflecting elevated energy costs and geopolitical supply risks that have pushed consensus forecasts above the central bank’s 4 percent target. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48 percent, yet forward-looking models from Goldman Sachs and the Reserve Bank incorporate persistent commodity pressures and a low base effect that support a rebound through year-end. With monetary policy on hold and real rates remaining positive, market-implied odds of 83 percent for outcomes above 4.50 percent capture the skin-in-the-game assessment that inflation will stay elevated rather than revert to the subdued 2–3 percent range seen earlier in the cycle. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming RBI monetary policy updates and global oil price developments that could shift the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.50%及以上 82%
1.50%到2.24% 9.9%
3.00%到3.74% 7.1%
2.25%到2.99% 7.0%
$60,622 交易量
$60,622 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
4%
0.75%到1.49%
2%
1.50%到2.24%
10%
2.25%到2.99%
7%
3.00%到3.74%
7%
3.75%到4.49%
9%
4.50%及以上
82%
4.50%及以上 82%
1.50%到2.24% 9.9%
3.00%到3.74% 7.1%
2.25%到2.99% 7.0%
$60,622 交易量
$60,622 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
$806 交易量
4%
0.75%到1.49%
$525 交易量
2%
1.50%到2.24%
$415 交易量
10%
2.25%到2.99%
$23,764 交易量
7%
3.00%到3.74%
$517 交易量
7%
3.75%到4.49%
$23,340 交易量
9%
4.50%及以上
$11,254 交易量
82%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent RBI projections and analyst revisions have anchored trader expectations for India’s 2026 CPI inflation near 4.6 percent, reflecting elevated energy costs and geopolitical supply risks that have pushed consensus forecasts above the central bank’s 4 percent target. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48 percent, yet forward-looking models from Goldman Sachs and the Reserve Bank incorporate persistent commodity pressures and a low base effect that support a rebound through year-end. With monetary policy on hold and real rates remaining positive, market-implied odds of 83 percent for outcomes above 4.50 percent capture the skin-in-the-game assessment that inflation will stay elevated rather than revert to the subdued 2–3 percent range seen earlier in the cycle. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming RBI monetary policy updates and global oil price developments that could shift the trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$60,622结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent RBI projections and analyst revisions have anchored trader expectations for India’s 2026 CPI inflation near 4.6 percent, reflecting elevated energy costs and geopolitical supply risks that have pushed consensus forecasts above the central bank’s 4 percent target. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48 percent, yet forward-looking models from Goldman Sachs and the Reserve Bank incorporate persistent commodity pressures and a low base effect that support a rebound through year-end. With monetary policy on hold and real rates remaining positive, market-implied odds of 83 percent for outcomes above 4.50 percent capture the skin-in-the-game assessment that inflation will stay elevated rather than revert to the subdued 2–3 percent range seen earlier in the cycle. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming RBI monetary policy updates and global oil price developments that could shift the trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
交易量
$60,622结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent RBI projections and analyst revisions have anchored trader expectations for India’s 2026 CPI inflation near 4.6 percent, reflecting elevated energy costs and geopolitical supply risks that have pushed consensus forecasts above the central bank’s 4 percent target. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48 percent, yet forward-looking models from Goldman Sachs and the Reserve Bank incorporate persistent commodity pressures and a low base effect that support a rebound through year-end. With monetary policy on hold and real rates remaining positive, market-implied odds of 83 percent for outcomes above 4.50 percent capture the skin-in-the-game assessment that inflation will stay elevated rather than revert to the subdued 2–3 percent range seen earlier in the cycle. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming RBI monetary policy updates and global oil price developments that could shift the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题