JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$191,658 交易量
2026-12-31
June 30
<1%
July 31
2%
December 31
8%
$191,658 交易量
June 30
$59,471 交易量
<1%
July 31
$217 交易量
2%
December 31
$104,546 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$191,658结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$191,658结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题