**The @khamenei_ir account has maintained a steady cadence of quote-style posts tied to Arbaeen observances and resistance themes since Ali Khamenei’s July 2026 death, with Mojtaba Khamenei-linked activity adding visibility.** Multiple daily outputs in early August—already six posts by August 3—reflect institutional continuity and religious timing rather than breaking political developments. Traders price the 5-9 bin highest because historical posting patterns during similar commemorative periods cluster in this narrow range, while the 10-14 bin captures the modest upside from continued daily activity through the August 7 resolution window. No major escalations or official announcements have altered the baseline rate in recent days, keeping higher bins at low single-digit probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
Khamenei # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
5-9 73%
10-14 25.2%
15-19 4.3%
50-54 <1%
$17,336 交易量
$17,336 交易量
2026-08-07
5-9
73%
10-14
25%
15-19
4%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
5-9 73%
10-14 25.2%
15-19 4.3%
50-54 <1%
$17,336 交易量
$17,336 交易量
2026-08-07
5-9
$4,943 交易量
73%
10-14
$3,001 交易量
25%
15-19
$1,129 交易量
4%
20-24
$559 交易量
1%
25-29
$346 交易量
<1%
30-34
$315 交易量
<1%
35-39
$370 交易量
<1%
40-44
$354 交易量
1%
45-49
$311 交易量
<1%
50-54
$329 交易量
1%
55-59
$345 交易量
1%
60+
$318 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account has maintained a steady cadence of quote-style posts tied to Arbaeen observances and resistance themes since Ali Khamenei’s July 2026 death, with Mojtaba Khamenei-linked activity adding visibility.** Multiple daily outputs in early August—already six posts by August 3—reflect institutional continuity and religious timing rather than breaking political developments. Traders price the 5-9 bin highest because historical posting patterns during similar commemorative periods cluster in this narrow range, while the 10-14 bin captures the modest upside from continued daily activity through the August 7 resolution window. No major escalations or official announcements have altered the baseline rate in recent days, keeping higher bins at low single-digit probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$17,336结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account has maintained a steady cadence of quote-style posts tied to Arbaeen observances and resistance themes since Ali Khamenei’s July 2026 death, with Mojtaba Khamenei-linked activity adding visibility.** Multiple daily outputs in early August—already six posts by August 3—reflect institutional continuity and religious timing rather than breaking political developments. Traders price the 5-9 bin highest because historical posting patterns during similar commemorative periods cluster in this narrow range, while the 10-14 bin captures the modest upside from continued daily activity through the August 7 resolution window. No major escalations or official announcements have altered the baseline rate in recent days, keeping higher bins at low single-digit probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,336结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The @khamenei_ir account has maintained a steady cadence of quote-style posts tied to Arbaeen observances and resistance themes since Ali Khamenei’s July 2026 death, with Mojtaba Khamenei-linked activity adding visibility.** Multiple daily outputs in early August—already six posts by August 3—reflect institutional continuity and religious timing rather than breaking political developments. Traders price the 5-9 bin highest because historical posting patterns during similar commemorative periods cluster in this narrow range, while the 10-14 bin captures the modest upside from continued daily activity through the August 7 resolution window. No major escalations or official announcements have altered the baseline rate in recent days, keeping higher bins at low single-digit probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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