With Real Oviedo mathematically relegated after a Girona-Ray Vallecano draw two days ago, La Liga's relegation scrap centers on a chaotic six-team pileup from 14th to 19th, where Espanyol lead on 42 points, followed by Alavés (40), and four clubs tied at 39 (Elche, Mallorca, Levante, Girona). Trader consensus reflects this parity, pricing Mallorca, Levante, and Espanyol near 50% implied probabilities for 17th place due to their goal differences, recent draws lifting Levante, and Alavés' upset win over Barcelona boosting momentum. Pivotal remaining fixtures, including Levante hosting Mallorca this weekend and Valencia's game in hand, heighten volatility, while head-to-head results and run-ins against mid-table foes keep higher squads like Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano viable threats in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Mallorca 69%
Real Sociedad 64%
Osasuna 64%
Girona 64%
$10,786 交易量
$10,786 交易量
Mallorca
69%
Real Sociedad
64%
Osasuna
64%
Girona
64%
Rayo Vallecano
64%
Deportivo Alaves
64%
Valencia
64%
Levante
64%
Athletic Bilbao
50%
Sevilla
10%
Espanyol
-
Elche
37%
Mallorca 69%
Real Sociedad 64%
Osasuna 64%
Girona 64%
$10,786 交易量
$10,786 交易量
Mallorca
69%
Real Sociedad
64%
Osasuna
64%
Girona
64%
Rayo Vallecano
64%
Deportivo Alaves
64%
Valencia
64%
Levante
64%
Athletic Bilbao
50%
Sevilla
10%
Espanyol
-
Elche
37%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With Real Oviedo mathematically relegated after a Girona-Ray Vallecano draw two days ago, La Liga's relegation scrap centers on a chaotic six-team pileup from 14th to 19th, where Espanyol lead on 42 points, followed by Alavés (40), and four clubs tied at 39 (Elche, Mallorca, Levante, Girona). Trader consensus reflects this parity, pricing Mallorca, Levante, and Espanyol near 50% implied probabilities for 17th place due to their goal differences, recent draws lifting Levante, and Alavés' upset win over Barcelona boosting momentum. Pivotal remaining fixtures, including Levante hosting Mallorca this weekend and Valencia's game in hand, heighten volatility, while head-to-head results and run-ins against mid-table foes keep higher squads like Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano viable threats in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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