Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in London on July 7?
18°C 46%
19°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
46%
19°C
27%
20°C
16%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
19°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 12%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
46%
19°C
27%
20°C
16%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题