Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?
23°C 46%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
46%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
46%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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