Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日巴黎最低气温？
8月2日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 50%
15°C 22%
17°C 20%
14°C或以下 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
14°C或以下
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
50%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
<1%
16°C 50%
15°C 22%
17°C 20%
14°C或以下 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
14°C或以下
$95 交易量
16%
15°C
$20 交易量
22%
16°C
$20 交易量
50%
17°C
$20 交易量
20%
18°C
$15 交易量
5%
19°C
$21 交易量
2%
20°C
$26 交易量
10%
21°C
$11 交易量
7%
22°C
$10 交易量
3%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$258结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$258结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题