Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日巴黎最低气温?
15°C 39%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 19%
11°C or below
9%
12°C
10%
13°C
12%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
18%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
15°C 39%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 19%
11°C or below
9%
12°C
10%
13°C
12%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
18%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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