Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a high near 23–28°C in Paris on July 26 under partly cloudy skies following the early-July heatwave, with limited daytime heating due to variable cloud cover and a moderating northerly flow. This range aligns closely with the tightly bunched market odds favoring 23–25°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Normal July climatology (around 25°C) and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection support the current trader consensus, with updates from 48-hour model runs likely to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日巴黎最高气温?
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
26°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
27%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
26°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
27%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a high near 23–28°C in Paris on July 26 under partly cloudy skies following the early-July heatwave, with limited daytime heating due to variable cloud cover and a moderating northerly flow. This range aligns closely with the tightly bunched market odds favoring 23–25°C, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Normal July climatology (around 25°C) and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection support the current trader consensus, with updates from 48-hour model runs likely to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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