Recent extended forecasts project Chongqing maximum temperatures of 39–41°C on July 24 amid seasonal high-pressure dominance and intense solar heating across the Yangtze basin, with model spreads centered near 40°C explaining the near-even 33.5% and 32% implied probabilities for 39°C and 40°C. July climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C that frequently exceed 38°C under clear skies and high humidity, while any afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap readings at 38°C (19.5% implied) or push toward 41°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月24日重庆气温最高?
39°C 34%
40°C 32%
41°C 26%
38°C 22%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
22%
39°C
34%
40°C
32%
41°C
20%
42°C
11%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 34%
40°C 32%
41°C 26%
38°C 22%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
22%
39°C
34%
40°C
32%
41°C
20%
42°C
11%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent extended forecasts project Chongqing maximum temperatures of 39–41°C on July 24 amid seasonal high-pressure dominance and intense solar heating across the Yangtze basin, with model spreads centered near 40°C explaining the near-even 33.5% and 32% implied probabilities for 39°C and 40°C. July climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C that frequently exceed 38°C under clear skies and high humidity, while any afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap readings at 38°C (19.5% implied) or push toward 41°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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