Singapore's ongoing southwest monsoon drives afternoon convection and localized thundery showers that frequently limit peak heating, positioning 31°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Official NEA outlooks note typical July maxima of 33–34°C under clear conditions, but variable cloud cover and short-duration storms—common through mid-July—reduce insolation and keep readings clustered near 30–32°C, as reflected in the tight 27–28.5% odds on adjacent outcomes. Recent station data showing highs near 32.8°C alongside persistent humidity reinforce trader focus on shower timing and intensity as the key variables ahead of July 22 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡7月22日的最高温度?
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
$10,296 交易量
$10,296 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
20%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
$10,296 交易量
$10,296 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
20%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's ongoing southwest monsoon drives afternoon convection and localized thundery showers that frequently limit peak heating, positioning 31°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Official NEA outlooks note typical July maxima of 33–34°C under clear conditions, but variable cloud cover and short-duration storms—common through mid-July—reduce insolation and keep readings clustered near 30–32°C, as reflected in the tight 27–28.5% odds on adjacent outcomes. Recent station data showing highs near 32.8°C alongside persistent humidity reinforce trader focus on shower timing and intensity as the key variables ahead of July 22 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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