Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
7月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
12°C 74%
13°C 22%
11°C 6.0%
14°C 1.1%
最新
$43,209 交易量
最新
$43,209 交易量
2026-07-21
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
74%
13°C
22%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
12°C 74%
13°C 22%
11°C 6.0%
14°C 1.1%
最新
$43,209 交易量
最新
$43,209 交易量
2026-07-21
7°C or below
$175 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,171 交易量
<1%
9°C
$731 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,176 交易量
<1%
11°C
$18,489 交易量
6%
12°C
$7,275 交易量
74%
13°C
$5,287 交易量
22%
14°C
$4,718 交易量
1%
15°C
$2,308 交易量
<1%
16°C
$419 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$459 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$43,209结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,209结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETWellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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