Official forecasts from PAGASA currently anchor trader sentiment around a 33°C high for Manila on July 22, with nearby 32–34°C outcomes tightly bunched due to typical southwest monsoon variability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a 60% rain chance favor scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can either cap peak readings or allow brief clear spells to push temperatures higher. Historical July averages near 31°C, combined with recent model runs showing minor shifts in steering patterns, sustain uncertainty in exact maximums. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze effects and convective activity evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日马尼拉的最高温度?
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from PAGASA currently anchor trader sentiment around a 33°C high for Manila on July 22, with nearby 32–34°C outcomes tightly bunched due to typical southwest monsoon variability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a 60% rain chance favor scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can either cap peak readings or allow brief clear spells to push temperatures higher. Historical July averages near 31°C, combined with recent model runs showing minor shifts in steering patterns, sustain uncertainty in exact maximums. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze effects and convective activity evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题