Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月20日纽约市最高气温？
7月20日纽约市最高气温？
80-81°F 51%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 7%
最新
$12,001 交易量
最新
$12,001 交易量
2026-07-20
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 51%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 7%
最新
$12,001 交易量
最新
$12,001 交易量
2026-07-20
69°F或以下
$320 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$240 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$401 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,781 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,631 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,334 交易量
11%
80-81°F
$2,591 交易量
51%
82-83°F
$1,036 交易量
34%
84-85°F
$1,161 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$955 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$556 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$12,001结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,001结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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