Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on July 21?
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
$17,664 交易量
$17,664 交易量
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
$17,664 交易量
$17,664 交易量
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders price Denver's July 21 high most heavily in the 90–95°F range because the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects a typical midsummer pattern with surface highs near 92°F under partly sunny skies. Differentiating outcomes hinge on afternoon convective cloud cover and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peak temperatures versus stronger insolation and downslope warming that would push readings into the mid-90s. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, with historical July climatology showing average highs near 90°F and a standard deviation of roughly 4–6°F. New model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题