Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日巴黎最低气温？
7月22日巴黎最低气温？
14°C 32%
13°C 26%
15°C 11%
12°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
32%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 32%
13°C 26%
15°C 11%
12°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
10°C or below
$92 交易量
1%
11°C
$82 交易量
3%
12°C
$80 交易量
11%
13°C
$406 交易量
26%
14°C
$2,768 交易量
32%
15°C
$140 交易量
11%
16°C
$188 交易量
7%
17°C
$149 交易量
1%
18°C
$92 交易量
<1%
19°C
$92 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$192 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,280结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,280结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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