Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC project London highs of 25–26°C on July 21 under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This narrow range underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer warming rates. Primary drivers include persistent high pressure favoring clear skies and modest warm advection, tempered by uncertainty in exact diurnal maxima across guidance. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction centers over the next 48 hours will further constrain resolution criteria based on official observational maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月21日伦敦气温最高?
25°C 36%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 11%
$19,110 交易量
$19,110 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 11%
$19,110 交易量
$19,110 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC project London highs of 25–26°C on July 21 under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This narrow range underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer warming rates. Primary drivers include persistent high pressure favoring clear skies and modest warm advection, tempered by uncertainty in exact diurnal maxima across guidance. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction centers over the next 48 hours will further constrain resolution criteria based on official observational maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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