Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
19°C 43%
20°C 31%
18°C 21%
21°C 3.6%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
21%
19°C
43%
20°C
31%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 31%
18°C 21%
21°C 3.6%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
21%
19°C
43%
20°C
31%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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