The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月21日米兰的最高温度？
7月21日米兰的最高温度？
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
最新
$49,777 交易量
最新
$49,777 交易量
2026-07-21
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
38%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
最新
$49,777 交易量
最新
$49,777 交易量
2026-07-21
24°C或以下
$431 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,165 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,972 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,452 交易量
1%
28°C
$6,411 交易量
3%
29°C
$4,450 交易量
15%
30°C
$8,023 交易量
31%
31°C
$9,957 交易量
38%
32°C
$6,297 交易量
14%
33°C
$2,602 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$2,017 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$49,777结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,777结束日期
2026-07-21市场开放时间
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThe closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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