Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日广州气温最高？
7月22日广州气温最高？
33°C 36%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
36%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C或以上
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
26°C或以下
$389 交易量
<1%
27°C
$22 交易量
<1%
28°C
$347 交易量
<1%
29°C
$221 交易量
1%
30°C
$77 交易量
2%
31°C
$190 交易量
11%
32°C
$113 交易量
25%
33°C
$51 交易量
36%
34°C
$2,244 交易量
27%
35°C
$584 交易量
6%
36°C或以上
$70 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$4,296结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,296结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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