Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a July 22 high near 36°C (97°F) under mostly cloudy skies with late thunderstorms possible, though model spreads and regional guidance from the China Meteorological Administration introduce uncertainty around exact peaks. Summer humidity, the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, and variable sea-breeze effects or convective activity can suppress or elevate daytime maxima by 1–3°C. With outcomes clustered tightly between 33–35°C in trader pricing, markets reflect the narrow band between baseline climatology (typical July highs ~31–33°C) and potential for brief clearing that allows stronger heating. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日上海气温最高?
34°C 29%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 12%
$22,568 交易量
$22,568 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
29%
35°C
29%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 29%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 12%
$22,568 交易量
$22,568 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
29%
35°C
29%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a July 22 high near 36°C (97°F) under mostly cloudy skies with late thunderstorms possible, though model spreads and regional guidance from the China Meteorological Administration introduce uncertainty around exact peaks. Summer humidity, the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, and variable sea-breeze effects or convective activity can suppress or elevate daytime maxima by 1–3°C. With outcomes clustered tightly between 33–35°C in trader pricing, markets reflect the narrow band between baseline climatology (typical July highs ~31–33°C) and potential for brief clearing that allows stronger heating. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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