Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日香港最低气温?
28°C 38%
27°C 35%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
35%
28°C
38%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 35%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
35%
28°C
38%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题