Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日深圳气温最高？
7月23日深圳气温最高？
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
26°C or below
$511 交易量
<1%
27°C
$356 交易量
<1%
28°C
$119 交易量
<1%
29°C
$489 交易量
1%
30°C
$429 交易量
2%
31°C
$210 交易量
8%
32°C
$316 交易量
21%
33°C
$145 交易量
37%
34°C
$2,958 交易量
29%
35°C
$528 交易量
6%
36°C or higher
$1,406 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,287结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,287结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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