Trader sentiment clusters around 33–35°C for Wuhan's July 21 high because short-range models show peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover from a passing trough could suppress insolation and prevent the mercury from reaching 36°C or higher, while clear intervals and light winds might allow readings to top 34°C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 34–35°C, with daily variability driven by the balance between solar heating and convective cooling. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, incorporating latest radar and satellite data, will refine whether the maximum stays capped near 33°C or pushes into the upper 30s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月21日武汉最高气温?
34°C 36%
33°C 33%
32°C 16%
35°C 13%
$35,195 交易量
$35,195 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
16%
33°C
33%
34°C
36%
35°C
13%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 33%
32°C 16%
35°C 13%
$35,195 交易量
$35,195 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
16%
33°C
33%
34°C
36%
35°C
13%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment clusters around 33–35°C for Wuhan's July 21 high because short-range models show peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover from a passing trough could suppress insolation and prevent the mercury from reaching 36°C or higher, while clear intervals and light winds might allow readings to top 34°C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 34–35°C, with daily variability driven by the balance between solar heating and convective cooling. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, incorporating latest radar and satellite data, will refine whether the maximum stays capped near 33°C or pushes into the upper 30s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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