Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日开普敦气温最高?
15°C 36%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 10%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
33%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
5%
18°C或更高
1%
15°C 36%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 10%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
33%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
5%
18°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 21, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town on July 23 indicate daytime maxima clustered around 13–16°C amid a passing cold front, with light rain and northerly winds expected to moderate peaks. Official model guidance from sources such as YR.no and local meteorological updates shows slight day-to-day revisions between 14°C and 16°C, reflecting typical winter variability driven by Atlantic frontal systems that lower temperatures below the seasonal 17°C average. Trader consensus, with 15°C and 14°C leading at roughly equal implied probabilities near 30–34%, captures this narrow uncertainty range, where small shifts in front timing or cloud cover could determine the exact high. Upcoming model runs and official South African Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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