Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日重庆气温最高？
7月22日重庆气温最高？
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 20%
38°C 10%
最新
$16,475 交易量
最新
$16,475 交易量
2026-07-22
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
10%
39°C
27%
40°C
34%
41°C
20%
42°C
6%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C或更高
<1%
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 20%
38°C 10%
最新
$16,475 交易量
最新
$16,475 交易量
2026-07-22
35°C or below
$405 交易量
<1%
36°C
$2,023 交易量
2%
37°C
$419 交易量
3%
38°C
$701 交易量
10%
39°C
$406 交易量
27%
40°C
$8,242 交易量
34%
41°C
$963 交易量
20%
42°C
$2,244 交易量
6%
43°C
$571 交易量
1%
44°C
$215 交易量
<1%
45°C或更高
$289 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$16,475结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,475结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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