Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月24日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月24日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 20%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 20%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
25°C或以下
$361 交易量
<1%
26°C
$491 交易量
1%
27°C
$160 交易量
1%
28°C
$163 交易量
2%
29°C
$3 交易量
2%
30°C
$19 交易量
20%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$130 交易量
33%
33°C
$81 交易量
13%
34°C
$22 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,515结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,515结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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