Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月24日开普敦气温最高？
7月24日开普敦气温最高？
18°C 38%
17°C 35%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
35%
18°C
38%
19°C
15%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
1%
18°C 38%
17°C 35%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
12°C或以下
$54 交易量
<1%
13°C
$141 交易量
<1%
14°C
$69 交易量
1%
15°C
$115 交易量
2%
16°C
$141 交易量
12%
17°C
$241 交易量
35%
18°C
$132 交易量
38%
19°C
$813 交易量
15%
20°C
$73 交易量
1%
21°C
$99 交易量
1%
22°C或更高
$88 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,956结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,956结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTraders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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