Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日首尔气温最高？
7月23日首尔气温最高？
28°C 30%
27°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
30%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C or higher
6%
28°C 30%
27°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
20°C or below
$356 交易量
<1%
21°C
$356 交易量
<1%
22°C
$356 交易量
<1%
23°C
$456 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,246 交易量
1%
25°C
$947 交易量
2%
26°C
$540 交易量
14%
27°C
$574 交易量
30%
28°C
$834 交易量
30%
29°C
$801 交易量
22%
30°C or higher
$1,246 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,711结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,711结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题