Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日莫斯科最高气温?
22°C 19%
24°C 16%
23°C 15%
19°C or below 12%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
19%
23°C
15%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
2%
22°C 19%
24°C 16%
23°C 15%
19°C or below 12%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
19%
23°C
15%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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