Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月24日米兰最高温度？
7月24日米兰最高温度？
30°C 43%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C or below 7.0%
最新
$14,664 交易量
最新
$14,664 交易量
2026-07-24
28°C or below
7%
29°C
27%
30°C
43%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C or below 7.0%
最新
$14,664 交易量
最新
$14,664 交易量
2026-07-24
28°C or below
$1,538 交易量
7%
29°C
$4,594 交易量
27%
30°C
$836 交易量
43%
31°C
$4,233 交易量
20%
32°C
$439 交易量
2%
33°C
$523 交易量
1%
34°C
$489 交易量
<1%
35°C
$388 交易量
<1%
36°C
$287 交易量
<1%
37°C
$736 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$601 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$14,664结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,664结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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