Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日东京最低气温?
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 11.8%
24°C 3.5%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
38%
26°C
48%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 11.8%
24°C 3.5%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
38%
26°C
48%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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