Recent forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Jeddah highs near 38–39°C for July 25 amid typical Red Sea coastal conditions, where high humidity from warm sea-surface temperatures (often exceeding 30°C) limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime heat. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on steering winds, afternoon sea breezes, and any late intensification of a thermal low over the Arabian Peninsula, which could push peaks to 40°C or briefly higher. With only modest model spread and no major synoptic shifts expected in the next 48 hours, trader sentiment clusters around these values while acknowledging the inherent 1–2°C uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日吉达的最高温度?
40°C 31%
39°C 25%
38°C 19%
41°C 19%
33°C或以下
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36℃
10%
37°C
11%
38°C
19%
39°C
25%
40°C
31%
41°C
19%
42°C
8%
43°C或更高
5%
40°C 31%
39°C 25%
38°C 19%
41°C 19%
33°C或以下
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36℃
10%
37°C
11%
38°C
19%
39°C
25%
40°C
31%
41°C
19%
42°C
8%
43°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 23, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Jeddah highs near 38–39°C for July 25 amid typical Red Sea coastal conditions, where high humidity from warm sea-surface temperatures (often exceeding 30°C) limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime heat. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on steering winds, afternoon sea breezes, and any late intensification of a thermal low over the Arabian Peninsula, which could push peaks to 40°C or briefly higher. With only modest model spread and no major synoptic shifts expected in the next 48 hours, trader sentiment clusters around these values while acknowledging the inherent 1–2°C uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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