Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 25 will likely settle near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from incoming showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points support minimum temperatures in this range rather than deeper cooling. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, but active monsoon flow this week introduces variability that keeps 20 °C or below a plausible secondary outcome if heavier rain arrives overnight. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus, with upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from KMA poised to refine the implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日首尔最低气温?
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
20°C或以下 31%
23°C 18%
20°C或以下
31%
21°C
1%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
20°C或以下 31%
23°C 18%
20°C或以下
31%
21°C
1%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 25 will likely settle near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from incoming showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points support minimum temperatures in this range rather than deeper cooling. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, but active monsoon flow this week introduces variability that keeps 20 °C or below a plausible secondary outcome if heavier rain arrives overnight. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus, with upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from KMA poised to refine the implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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