Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日巴黎最高气温？
7月23日巴黎最高气温？
26°C 36%
25°C 35%
24°C 16%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 35%
24°C 16%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
21°C or below
$206 交易量
<1%
22°C
$372 交易量
1%
23°C
$398 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,000 交易量
16%
25°C
$980 交易量
35%
26°C
$582 交易量
36%
27°C
$459 交易量
13%
28°C
$374 交易量
2%
29°C
$199 交易量
1%
30°C
$191 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$190 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,948结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,948结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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