Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position Milan’s July 25 maximum near 30–32 °C under persistent subtropical ridging, yet the leading 28 °C-or-below outcome (39.5 % implied) reflects model spread from an approaching Atlantic trough that could enhance northerly flow and reduce boundary-layer heating. Po Valley subsidence inversions and urban heat-island effects normally amplify daytime peaks, but recent soundings show slightly cooler mid-level air and higher low-level moisture that favor modest capping. Historical July maxima average 29–31 °C, so the tight clustering around 29–30 °C in market pricing captures the narrow uncertainty window before the next model cycle and observational updates from ARPA Lombardia.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日米兰的最高温度？
7月25日米兰的最高温度？
28°C or below 27.7%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
28°C or below
28%
29°C
31%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
28°C or below 27.7%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
28°C or below
$1,067 交易量
28%
29°C
$332 交易量
31%
30°C
$267 交易量
23%
31°C
$271 交易量
15%
32°C
$243 交易量
4%
33°C
$338 交易量
1%
34°C
$247 交易量
<1%
35°C
$115 交易量
<1%
36°C
$256 交易量
<1%
37°C
$371 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$371 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position Milan’s July 25 maximum near 30–32 °C under persistent subtropical ridging, yet the leading 28 °C-or-below outcome (39.5 % implied) reflects model spread from an approaching Atlantic trough that could enhance northerly flow and reduce boundary-layer heating. Po Valley subsidence inversions and urban heat-island effects normally amplify daytime peaks, but recent soundings show slightly cooler mid-level air and higher low-level moisture that favor modest capping. Historical July maxima average 29–31 °C, so the tight clustering around 29–30 °C in market pricing captures the narrow uncertainty window before the next model cycle and observational updates from ARPA Lombardia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,877结束日期
2026-07-25市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position Milan’s July 25 maximum near 30–32 °C under persistent subtropical ridging, yet the leading 28 °C-or-below outcome (39.5 % implied) reflects model spread from an approaching Atlantic trough that could enhance northerly flow and reduce boundary-layer heating. Po Valley subsidence inversions and urban heat-island effects normally amplify daytime peaks, but recent soundings show slightly cooler mid-level air and higher low-level moisture that favor modest capping. Historical July maxima average 29–31 °C, so the tight clustering around 29–30 °C in market pricing captures the narrow uncertainty window before the next model cycle and observational updates from ARPA Lombardia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,877结束日期
2026-07-25市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position Milan’s July 25 maximum near 30–32 °C under persistent subtropical ridging, yet the leading 28 °C-or-below outcome (39.5 % implied) reflects model spread from an approaching Atlantic trough that could enhance northerly flow and reduce boundary-layer heating. Po Valley subsidence inversions and urban heat-island effects normally amplify daytime peaks, but recent soundings show slightly cooler mid-level air and higher low-level moisture that favor modest capping. Historical July maxima average 29–31 °C, so the tight clustering around 29–30 °C in market pricing captures the narrow uncertainty window before the next model cycle and observational updates from ARPA Lombardia.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题