Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日巴黎最低气温?
17°C 42%
16°C 34%
15°C 8%
18°C 8%
14°C或更低
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
34%
17°C
42%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
17°C 42%
16°C 34%
15°C 8%
18°C 8%
14°C或更低
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
34%
17°C
42%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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