Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日东京最低气温？
8月1日东京最低气温？
31°C 62%
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
38%
28°C
40%
29°C
35%
30°C
2%
31°C
62%
32°C或更高
1%
31°C 62%
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
$32 交易量
9%
23°C
$20 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
36%
27°C
$0 交易量
38%
28°C
$0 交易量
40%
29°C
$0 交易量
35%
30°C
$71 交易量
2%
31°C
$32 交易量
62%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$155结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$155结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题