Skip to main content
icon for Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

$86,760 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$86,760 交易量

Polymarket

2140

$3,958 交易量

1%

2150

$32,276 交易量

1%

2200

$27,847 交易量

1%

2300

$9,745 交易量

<1%

2400

$12,933 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in under-vaccinated communities continues to drive U.S. case counts, with the CDC reporting 2,073 confirmed cases as of June 11, 2026—already approaching the full-year 2025 total of 2,288. Ninety-three percent of 2026 cases link to 30 outbreaks, predominantly among individuals unvaccinated or with unknown MMR status, reflecting sustained endemic circulation after the Americas lost elimination status in late 2025. Recent weekly additions of 40–60 cases underscore active chains in multiple states, though public health containment and seasonal patterns may moderate further growth before June 30. CDC’s weekly surveillance updates, including any new outbreak declarations or revised counts, represent the key near-term data releases that could shift trader-implied probabilities on final June totals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$86,760
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in under-vaccinated communities continues to drive U.S. case counts, with the CDC reporting 2,073 confirmed cases as of June 11, 2026—already approaching the full-year 2025 total of 2,288. Ninety-three percent of 2026 cases link to 30 outbreaks, predominantly among individuals unvaccinated or with unknown MMR status, reflecting sustained endemic circulation after the Americas lost elimination status in late 2025. Recent weekly additions of 40–60 cases underscore active chains in multiple states, though public health containment and seasonal patterns may moderate further growth before June 30. CDC’s weekly surveillance updates, including any new outbreak declarations or revised counts, represent the key near-term data releases that could shift trader-implied probabilities on final June totals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$86,760
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2140",概率为 1%,其次是"2150",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 1¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 1%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?"已产生 $86.8K 的总交易量(自May 26, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?"的当前领先者是"2140",仅有 1%,"2150"紧随其后为 1%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。