Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,123,215 交易量
2026-05-31
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
$1,123,215 交易量
5月31日
$101,958 交易量
1%
6月30日
$49,647 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,123,215结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,123,215结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, yet he has made no verified public appearances since. Written statements attributed to him continue to address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz control, and regional strategy, while U.S. intelligence assessments and regional reporting cite possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks, leading to speculation he may be recovering abroad or directing affairs through intermediaries from a secure location. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, confirmed an in-person meeting in early May, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated he believes Khamenei remains alive but concealed domestically. IRGC commanders have expanded influence over military and diplomatic decisions during the ongoing conflict, reducing the visibility of formal leadership transitions. These factors sustain trader focus on whether security needs or medical requirements could prompt an exit before key deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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