Micron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied odds around 46.5–48.5% across $720–$900 ranges reflect elevated uncertainty following sharp weekly swings, with the stock closing at $823.03 on July 31 after trading as low as $739 and as high as $874.66 in late July. Strong fiscal Q3 2026 results, driven by record revenue and AI-related HBM and DRAM demand, continue to underpin trader sentiment, yet valuation concerns and sector rotation have introduced volatility without an immediate earnings or macro catalyst ahead of the Aug 3–7 window. Broader semiconductor trends, Treasury yields, and any fresh AI supply-chain updates remain the key swing factors that could shift the tight probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$880-$900 95%
>$900 95%
<$720 93%
$820-$840 49%
<$720
93%
$720-$740
47%
$740-$760
48%
$760-$780
49%
$780-$800
49%
$800-$820
49%
$820-$840
49%
$840-$860
48%
$860-$880
48%
$880-$900
95%
>$900
95%
$880-$900 95%
>$900 95%
<$720 93%
$820-$840 49%
<$720
93%
$720-$740
47%
$740-$760
48%
$760-$780
49%
$780-$800
49%
$800-$820
49%
$820-$840
49%
$840-$860
48%
$860-$880
48%
$880-$900
95%
>$900
95%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
Micron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied odds around 46.5–48.5% across $720–$900 ranges reflect elevated uncertainty following sharp weekly swings, with the stock closing at $823.03 on July 31 after trading as low as $739 and as high as $874.66 in late July. Strong fiscal Q3 2026 results, driven by record revenue and AI-related HBM and DRAM demand, continue to underpin trader sentiment, yet valuation concerns and sector rotation have introduced volatility without an immediate earnings or macro catalyst ahead of the Aug 3–7 window. Broader semiconductor trends, Treasury yields, and any fresh AI supply-chain updates remain the key swing factors that could shift the tight probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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